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bicocca
Seminario di dipartimento
Luogo Evento
Aula 16, Sede di Via dei Caniana
Relatore/i
Federico Esposito (University of Milano - Bicocca)
Contatti di riferimento
Giampaolo Lecce, giampaolo.lecce@unibg.it
Speaker: Federico Esposito
 
TitleInput Sourcing under Climate Risk: Evidence from U.S. Manufacturing Firms (joint with Joaquin Blaum and Sebastian Heise) 
 

Abstract: We study the effect of risk on how firms organize their supply chains. We use transaction-level data on U.S. manufacturing imports to construct a novel measure of input sourcing risk based on the historical volatility of ocean shipping times. Our measure isolates the unexpected component of shipping times that is induced by weather conditions along more than 331,000 maritime routes. We first document that unexpected shipping delays significantly reduce importers’ sales, profits, and employment. We then show that firms actively diversify weather risk by using more routes and foreign suppliers, although their import values decline. To rationalize these findings, we introduce shipping time risk into a general equilibrium model of importing with firm heterogeneity. Our quantitative analysis predicts substantial costs for the U.S. economy associated with supply chain risk.